Friday, April 2, 2010

Emilio and Gloria Estefan to host President Obama

Posted on Friday, 04.02.10
POLITICS

Emilio and Gloria Estefan to host President Obama
Gloria and Emilio Estefan will host President Barack Obama on his
upcoming trip to Florida. The president will also visit the Space Coast.
BY LESLEY CLARK
lclark@MiamiHerald.com

WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama conveyed his harshest rebuke yet of
Havana's government last week and, hours later, Gloria Estefan protested
repression in Havana from the streets of Miami.

Now, they'll be together again when the Cuban-born singer and her
husband, Emilio, host Obama at their Miami Beach home April 15 for a
Democratic National Committee fundraiser, when the president comes to
Florida to talk about cuts to the NASA space program.

The $30,400-a-couple cocktail reception is the Estefans' first political
fundraiser, said Democratic consultant Freddy Balsera, who advised
Obama's campaign on Hispanic issues and is close to the couple. The
Estefans -- who were traveling and unavailable Thursday for comment --
orchestrated a massive march through Miami's Little Havana in support of
Cuba's Damas de Blanco, or Ladies in White, peaceful dissidents who were
attacked by government security forces in Havana.

``They're both at a place in their lives where they believe giving back
is important and patriotism is important,'' Balsera said. Obama will
also attend a fundraiser at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing
Arts in downtown Miami that same day. Tickets for that event start at
$250 and $1,250.

Though they've kept a low political profile, the Estefans are no
strangers to the White House. Gloria performed at the inaugural
festivities for President George W. Bush in 2005, following Bush's 2002
appointment of Emilio to the President's Committee on the Arts and
Humanities and the President's Advisory Committee on the Arts.

Emilio met with Obama at the White House last May, according to the
Washington Times, which reported at the time that Emilio hoped to have
Obama over for dinner to talk about U.S.-Cuba relations.

``We just want freedom,'' he told the newspaper.

In September, Obama appointed Emilio to a commission to study the
feasibility of a National Museum of the American Latino, and Gloria
Estefan -- along with Marc Anthony, Jose Feliciano and others --
performed at the White House in October as it celebrated Hispanic music.
The president quoted Gloria in his welcoming remarks, noting that in her
words, ``the most beautiful things in this country have the flavor of
other places.''

Gloria also scored a pre-Christmas interview with Obama for Univision.

The pair chatted about Santa and reindeer, with Estefan prompting Obama
to deliver a holiday message in what he jokingly called his ``flawless''
Spanish.

Obama's reception in Florida may not be entirely celebratory. He's
convened a conference on the Space Coast that day to defend his plans to
cancel a NASA space exploration program -- a decision that has prompted
howls of protest from Florida's congressional delegation.

http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/04/01/1559519/star-power-estefans-to-host-obama.html

Thursday, April 1, 2010

2 more Cuban human rights protesters start fast

2 more Cuban human rights protesters start fast
Published: March. 31, 2010 at 4:47 PM

HAVANA, March 31 (UPI) -- Two more Cuban dissidents have gone on hunger
strikes to press demands for the release of at least 26 political
detainees, who are all suffering from debilitating health problems since
the death due to starvation of Orlando Zapata Tamayo in February.

Information about the additional hunger strikers, released by the
unofficial Cuban Commission on Human Rights and National Reconciliation,
coincided with the European Union's postponement of a planned meeting
next week with Cuban officials. The talks were to have pushed for
advancing the human rights process in Cuba in return for EU incentives.

The 26 political detainees cited in recent campaigns for their release
are only a small part of numbers quoted by Cuban activists and confirmed
by human rights campaigner Amnesty International.

Cuba has reacted with disdain and vituperative rejoinders to campaigns
for the release of the detainees, telling the EU to mind its own
business. But analysts said Cuba's position received a major setback
when Zapata died in February after an 85-day hunger strike.

Emboldened by the silence of Cuba's South American friends, and
reluctance of most Latin American leaders to question Cuba over the
rights issue, Havana has defied critics and rejected any suggestion of
wrongdoing.

The EU under Spanish presidency, meanwhile, continues its search for a
middle path, only to be thwarted by Havana's actions and pronouncements,
analysts said.

The two dissidents to start the hunger strike join Guillermo Farinas,
who began his fast Feb. 24 after Zapata died. Both began their fasts
earlier but news of their protest action became known only this week.

Franklin Pelegrino has been fasting for 30 days at his home in the
eastern province of Holguin, while dissident prisoner Darsi Ferrer, a
physician, announced 10 days ago that he was beginning a hunger strike,
commission spokesman Elizardo Sanchez said.

After Zapata's death about a dozen political prisoners and members of
the opposition began fasts but most of them called off their protests
after a few days.


Ferrer has been held without a trial or any formal charges being brought
against him since July 21, 2009, the rights commission said.

It said the campaign for human rights improvements in Cuba didn't
support hunger strikes in any context and believed the Cuban government
could bring about a human outcome of the crisis.

Cuba's government says it has no political prisoners and calls the
dissidents mercenaries in the service of the United States.

http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2010/03/31/2-more-Cuban-human-rights-protesters-start-fast/UPI-77421270068447/

US House may pass Cuba farm export bill in April

US House may pass Cuba farm export bill in April
Published on Thursday, April 1, 2010
By Jonathan J. Levin

WASHINGTON, USA (Bloomberg) -- The US House of Representatives may pass
a bill next month that would ease restrictions on agricultural exports
to Cuba and lift a ban on travel to the Communist island, the measure's
sponsor said.

Congressman Collin Peterson, chairman of the House Agriculture
Committee, said he needs backing from one more lawmaker to assure the
panel will approve the legislation. He expects to secure that pledge
after Congress's Easter recess, and for the measure to then get approval
by the full House.

"Cuba used to be one of our big markets," Peterson, a Minnesota
Democrat, said in a telephone interview on Tuesday. The bill "would help
us get those markets back."

The US International Trade Commission estimates the US could supply as
much as two-thirds of Cuba's agricultural imports, up from the current
30 percent, if restrictions are eased, Peterson said in a committee
hearing this month. The bill would end a requirement that payments from
Cuba to US farmers go through a bank located in a third country and be
made all in cash, steps that make trade more difficult.

The US exported $528.5 million in food and agricultural products to Cuba
in 2009, according to the US-Cuba Trade and Economic Council.

Peterson's bill, known as the "Travel Restriction Reform and Export
Enhancement Act," is the latest House legislation seeking to end a
47-year prohibition on Americans traveling to Cuba. The "Freedom to
Travel to Cuba Act," sponsored by William Delahunt, Democrat from
Massachusetts, would ease travel restrictions without changing rules
about agricultural exports.

Versions of both bills are under consideration in the Senate.

"I don't think we'll be able to get the agriculture changes by
themselves," Peterson said. "There's a lot of support for lifting the
travel ban, and if you put that together with the agriculture, I think
we have enough votes to get it through the House."

Proposals to end travel restrictions to Cuba may lack the support needed
to pass as a stand-alone bill in the Senate, said Senator Byron Dorgan,
who introduced the Senate version of the "Freedom to Travel to Cuba Act."

Dorgan, a Democrat from North Dakota, said he will seek to move the
legislation by attaching it as an amendment to another bill more likely
to get the 60 votes needed block a filibuster, he said today in a
telephone interview from Bismarck, North Dakota.

President Barack Obama said March 24 that he's seeking a "new era" in
relations with Cuba even as he denounced "deeply disturbing" human
rights violations by its government. Obama hasn't told congressional
Democrats where he stands on ending the travel ban, according to Peterson.

Obama last year eased restrictions on Cuban-Americans traveling to Cuba
and transferring money to relatives on the island. The US State
Department has also held talks in Havana with Cuban officials about
restoring mail service and cooperation on migration issues.

The island nation can handle an influx of American tourists if the bill
is passed, Cuba's Tourism Minister Manuel Marrero said in a March 25
interview in Cancun, Mexico. He said the local tourism industry is
preparing, with at least 9 hotels scheduled to break ground by the end
of this year.

Tourism to Cuba increased 3.5 percent last year to 2.4 million visitors,
with 900,000 travelers from Canada leading the way, Jose Manuel Bisbe,
commercial director for the Tourism Ministry, said in an interview last
week in Havana.

Cuban Tourism Ministry officials were in Cancun last week to meet with
U.S. tourism industry professionals.

Dorgan said the arrest of American Alan Gross last December in Havana
may be an impediment to lifting the travel ban, and called on Cuban
officials to free the prisoner.

Gross, a US State Department contractor, is accused of working as a spy
after he distributed cellular phones and computers to Jewish groups on
the island to help them communicate with friends and relatives outside
Cuba. Gross's wife, Judy Gross, said her husband had done "nothing
wrong," according to a video statement reproduced on CNN's Web site.

"Over the years, as we get close to achieving something, the Cubans have
a way of poking Americans in the eye," Dorgan said."

http://www.caribbeannetnews.com/article.php?news_id=22384

Fuedal Serfdom: The Fate of Health Professionals in Cuba

Fuedal Serfdom: The Fate of Health Professionals in Cuba

This is not the chronicle of a woman who manages to escape from her
abusive husband, nor the story of a teenager who runs away from
authoritarian parents. The title refers to another process of
emancipation - complicated and feudal - that doctors, nurses and
pharmacists must request to travel outside the island. Under the
significant name of "liberation," there is a mandatory process that
Public Health workers must complete to be allowed to leave, temporarily
or permanently. Included in the record of the possible traveler is
whether he owns his own home or car, because the State will confiscate
those if he does not return within 11 months. The paperwork passes
through numerous levels of authorization that can delay it a year or a
decade. Many never receive a reply.

Mario saw patients in a specialized practice and began to be seen as a
deserter when he announced a desire to reunite with his family across
the sea. He was immediately punished by being assigned to a position of
general practitioner in an emergency room far from his house. They
reminded him every day that the degree hanging on the wall in his living
room had been given to him by the Revolution, which he now was
betraying. Forced to swallow it whole, he endured the four years of
repeated jabs and investigation for his safe-conduct to leave the
country, which the minister of his branch still had not signed. "We have
many cases, we can't cope," the secretary repeated, and his exiled wife
broke into tears on the telephone when he told her. His children,
meanwhile, were growing up in some distant place without a father.

In the midst of his impotence, Mario came to reproach his mother for
having encouraged him to study medicine. "Why didn't you warn me!" he
shouted one afternoon, when he could no longer bear the white coat that
had become his shackles. When they finally allowed him to board the
plane, a circle of baldness delineated the middle of his head and a
nervous tick had taken control of his hands. To those who welcomed him
in a distant airport, he was not the enterprising orthopedist from years
ago, but someone who had decided to have nothing to do with hospitals.
The agonizing process of "liberation" had taken away any desire to fix a
knee or correct an ankle; he couldn't stop thinking that it was that
profession that had separated him from his family.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/yoani-sanchez/fuedal-serfdom-the-fate-o_b_521920.html

US, Cuba hold rare meeting at UN, with Haiti focus

US, Cuba hold rare meeting at UN, with Haiti focus
(AFP)

NEW YORK — Cuban and US diplomats have held a rare meeting at the United
Nations that focused on aid efforts for quake-hit Haiti, Cuban Foreign
Minister Bruno Rodriguez Parrilla said.

The meeting Wednesday between Rodriguez and Cheryl Mills, chief of staff
to US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, "focused on rebuilding the
health system of" Haiti, he said in a statement.

The encounter came on the sidelines of the UN donor conference for Haiti.

"Some cooperative activities have taken place between Cuba and the
United States, in the effort to provide emergency care" following the
earthquake, the minister said, adding that similar actions in the future
are expected "to take place on the ground."

The United States broke off diplomatic relations with the communist
island in 1961, but US President Barack Obama has said he would seek to
ease tensions with adversaries like Cuba.

In the days following the 7.0-magnitude quake that struck Haiti on
January 12, killing more than 220,000 people and leaving 1.3 million
more homeless, Cuba offered rare cooperation with Washington by letting
aid missions pass through its airspace and opening up its hospitals for
victims.

Over the last year, the US administration has lifted travel and money
transfer restrictions on Cuban-Americans with relatives in Cuba,
although it has urged Havana to free political prisoners and improve
political freedoms.

Last week Obama slammed the government over political and human rights
repression and called for an end to the "clenched fist" policy against
the Cuban people.

Some 50 international donors made a 9.9-billion-dollar pledge at the UN
conference Wednesday in a bid to help Haiti recover from the devastating
earthquake.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h86tw7l5Ll4SGZfmQjzSkOd2y8LA

CUBAN POLITICAL PRISIONERS

CUBAN POLITICAL PRISIONERS
(38TH Annual Conference of the International Organization of Human Rights)
2010-04-01.
Rolf Beller, International Organization of Human Rights
(www.miscelaneasdecuba.net).-

ISHR Annual General Meeting - Year 2010

Since the seizure of power of the Castro brothers in the year 1959, the
press was at first controlled and then censored so that work for
journalists has always been hazardous, not to say impossible as media in
Cuba is limited to state controlled radio & television broadcasting
networks and their official Newspaper Granma.

Latest in March 2003, the friction between the Government and the Press
openly broke up with the arrest of 75 people, of which 27 where
Journalists. All these people received a so called "express trial" with
prison terms between 6 and 28 years.

This, together with the inhuman treatment dissidents were being dealt
with in Cuban prisons, have been important reasons why ISHR decided,
roughly 6 years ago, to install an electronic data file containing all
imprisoned dissidents. In this file: age, date of birth, marital status
and contact person as well as day and reason of arrest, charge, years of
imprisonment, name of jail, health status and personal information is
registered and actualized.

In accordance to this data file, there are actually 208 political
prisoners in Cuba, of which 22 are independent journalists.

From which sources does ISHR obtain their information? ISHR maintains a
close contact to Miscelaneas de Cuba, Mothers Against Repression, to the
Ladies in White, to Reports from the Christian Freedom Movement through
Oswaldo Paya, from Directorio Democrático Cubano, Payolibre, Miami
Herald, Solidaridad Española in Madrid as well as a number of individual
persons in Cuba, Miami, Washington and other important US and European
Cities.

A further reliable source of information is the Cuban Council of Human
Rights Reporters based in Havana, an organisation that gives detailed
monthly information and a years summary report stating the number of
arrests and their charges, number of deaths and suicides in Cuban
prisons as well as detailed information regarding the inhuman handling
of political prisoners.

A further source of information is the since shortly active ISHR Working
Group in Cuba lead by Jorge Luis García Antúnez, a Cuban Human Rights
Activist who has been repeatedly imprisoned, the last time in March 1990
for 17 ½ years due to his open criticism towards the Cuban Communist
Party and attempted escape from the Island.

After fulfilling his sentence, he was released from prison in August 07,
but much to the annoyance of the Cuban Government, Antúnez remained an
active human rights defender and has since been arrested in several
occasions.

One was on July 3rd 2008 to prevent him joining the US Independence day
festivities organized in the US Missions Office in Cuba and a year
later, on July 23rd, he was arrested together with Dr. Darsi Ferrer.
Antúnez and his wife - Iris Tamara - were released after having been
interrogated for several hours, however their whereabouts are since then
unknown. Juan Carlos Leiva is a further member of the ISHR Working Group.

He also is a very courageous blind activist, accused of insulting Fidel
Castro and for having promoted enemy propaganda but really due to his
activities as independent journalist and human rights activist. He was
charged in March 03 with a 20 years prison term but due to his fragile
health, Leiva was lucky to receive a "limited" freedom in December 05.

From the registered 208 political prisoners:

81 received imprisonment between 01 and 10 years;
68, 11 and 20 years;
41, 21 and more years.

Just for the sake of comparison: in Germany life imprisonment is 15
years. With what charges are political prisoners usually accused?

Breaching Law Nr. 88 108 prisoners
Piracy, flight threat, illegal cross border 39
Disrespectful handling of officials 29
Danger for Society 26

What actions breach Law Nr. 88?when foreign telephone numbers are found
registered in the accused private phonebook;
- when foreign books and magazines found in the house of the accused are
considered by
the court subversive;
- when the accused has been interviewed by Radio Marti and/or foreign press;
- when the accused openly defends human rights and/or requests their
implementation;
-when the accused is charged to have endangered the national
sovereignty or endangered the economy of Cuba.All of those 22
Journalists that are actually registered in the ISHR data files, with
the exception of 3, have received prison terms between 20 and 25 years
for breaching the stated Law 88. In 1 case the journalist has been
charged of piracy and the other 2 journalists have been charged as
dangerous for society.

What is considered "piracy"?
All those who try to escape from the island, or arouse suspicion by
being owners of a boat or any other floatable object, are accused with
the offense of piracy. This infraction usually carries prison terms in
the region of 20 and more years.

The journalist Luis Campos Corrales was condemned in August 1994 to a
prison term of 25 years, person who is actually incarcerated in
Combinado del Sur Jail in the Province of Matanzas where, in accordance
to his mother Georgia Corrales, he is being treated "worse then a dog".

The offense "Danger for Society" is applied when the court has no
substantial proof or evidence against the accused, but arouses suspicion
of being a possible opponent. The 39 political prisoners that have been
charged with this verdict registered in our data bank, were condemned to
terms between 18 months and 4 years, a relatively mild sentence for
Cuban standards.

Most of these charges would probably be unsustainable under normal trial
conditions. Actually the prosecuted person in court has practically no
chance to prove his innocence, as the accused cannot request witnesses
nor can he or her rely on a defending lawyer.

Further, trials are usually held with a limited number of people but
usually with the presence of a family member as in these trials, not
only are the accused charged with prison terms, but also their family
members are affected with surveillance and unwelcome search-warrants of
their property executed by the state security, their children are
observed and tormented in school and friends threatened to end their
friendship with the family of the accused person.

They are also victims of so called Rejection Demonstrations through a
mob, organised and executed by agents of the state security. Usually
revolutionary slogans and insults are shouted out to harm members of the
family and objects thrown against their houses to scare their occupants.

The inhuman prison conditions, the complete lack of hygiene,
indigestible food and the unscrupulous behaviour of the prison guards,
are crucial factors that endanger the prisoners health and are often
cause of their death. It is not seldom that political prisoners are
placed into cells, sometimes completely naked, together with 100 and
more ordinary prisoners who are induced by the state security, to injure
or threaten him with death or just simply terrorise the victim.

Most of the political prisoners start their terms in a healthy
condition, however many today are seriously ill. The usual ailments are:
stomach lining and stomach – intestinal inflammation, under nourishment,
high blood pressure, eye diseases up to blindness, Kidney and liver
insufficiency, heart problems, parasites, amoeba, arthritis, allergies,
depression, dizziness, epilepsy and insomnia. Inhuman is, that when
medical help is requested, this is often ignored by the prison guards.

Should the prisoner be lucky and taken to the medical station, ailments
normally cannot be treated as medicine is scarce or simply not
available. It is estimated that 500 prisoners have died in Cuban prisons
during the last 4 years. This figure shows a growing trend as well as
the number of suicides, registered with 99 deaths in the last 2 years, a
alarming figure. Both figures are dark figures, however ISHR has
recorded 74 deaths since 2008 in Cuban prisons.


An effective but dangerous method used by political prisoners to draw
attention to their cause is the hunger strike. In accordance to the UN
Human Rights Commission, 12 prisoners have, since the Castro Brothers
took over power in 1959, died as consequence of their action.

The latest casualty was Orlando Zapata Tamayo who, after 83 days of
hunger, died on February 25th. Presently 2 dozen political prisoners are
on hunger strike in different Cuban prisons, many with shattered health
and in mortal danger, as in the case of the 46 year old Ariel Siegler
Amaya, arrested in March 2003, charged with a prison term of 25 years
for having endangered Cubas independence. He was, at the time of his
arrest a gym teacher and in perfect health condition.

Today he is a very sick man, he has lost a lot of body weight, has to be
transferred often to a hospital where nothing has been achieved to
improve his medical record. Also the health of Ricardo Galván Casals is
shattered, person that decided to go on hunger strike on March 8th after
prison guards rejected handing him his medicine.

After he had pronounced himself on hunger strike, he was put 5 days in
an isolated, dark and damp cell, like many before him, where he had to
sleep on the bare floor and his drinking water was severely controlled.
Since February 25th Dr. Guillermo Fariñas, a independent journalist and
psychiatrist living as a free person in Santa Clara, declared himself on
hunger strike to obtain the release of 26 seriously ill political prisoners.

One of these persons is Juan Carlos Acosta, a 43 year old metal worker
and independent journalist who is in jail, condemned to 20 years in
March 2003, accused of supplying Guatemala and the USA with damaging
reports with the intention to discredit the Cuban Government. Due to his
suffering in prison, Acosta has lost 20kg weight. In the mean time,
Guillermo Fariñas suffered a breakdown and had to be rushed to Hospital
on March 11th .

As can be concluded, there are a number of Cubans who are prepared to
risk their Health, and even their lives, to end their desperate
situation in jail but also to protest against Castros censorship. More
pressure then this is impossible and further measures can only be
generated in overseas. But what could these be?

Not only is Miami the most numerous Cuban city after Havana, but also
other important US cities have today a large Cuban community. All over
the US, but particularly in Miami, a number of NGOs and other
organisations are working hard to help the Cuban people "survive" their
desperate economical situation and in preparing Cuba for the time after
tyranny. However, the majority of these organisation are "cooking their
own soup" and are not "in one boat" speaking with one single strong voice.

Although there is hardly a dictatorship that is freely prepared to give
up censorship, the weight of this one voice could probably have more
influence to ease censorship then the hard work of all the individual
Cuban Organisations in exile. From the EU governments, similar procedure
must be expected and not, as is presently the case, that countries like
Spain, which is constantly prepared to make compromises with the Cuban
Authorities, jeopardizes EU policies.

This has also been reason why the success of EU policies has been
modest. No doubt, even the longest dictatorship has a biological end and
fortunately the Castro Dictatorship is not exempted from this fate.
Thank you.

http://www.miscelaneasdecuba.net/web/article.asp?artID=26906

THE FINAL CHAPTER?

THE FINAL CHAPTER?
2010-04-01. The Latell Report, March 2010, Cuban Transition Project,
Dr. Brian Latell

(www.miscelaneasdecuba.net).- Predictions that the Castro regime will
soon collapse are popular again. Such speculation is fueled by many
developments over the last year, including missteps by Raul Castro,
stasis and confusion in the ruling gerontocracy, the rehabilitation of
Ramiro Valdes, severe economic contractions, and rising international
condemnations of Cuba's appalling human rights record.

And of course, actuarially, the odds favoring sudden changes at the top
are steadily increasing. All of that adds up to greater uncertainty than
before.

But predicting the demise of the Castro brothers' regime has been a
losing proposition for all of the 51 years they have exercised power.
There have been a number of occasions when observers on and off the
island let themselves be convinced that the final chapter was being
written. I believed that once myself, as I have explained in After Fidel.

It was following the disappearance of the Soviet Union when Cuba's
economy plunged into what seemed then like terminal seizure. The largest
riots the regime ever experienced broke out on the Malecon in Havana and
in a few other places. Ox carts were substituting for transport
vehicles; factories were shutting down for lack of inputs; and extended
energy blackouts were provoking popular discontent. The leadership was
in a state of geopolitical shock.

By any rational analysis, the economic survival strategy Fidel Castro
decreed would never be able to compensate for the loss of the
approximately $6 billion of annual Soviet bloc subsidies. But the regime
did survive its worst economic crisis, the Special Period in Peacetime.
There were few defections from the leadership, no known challenge to
Castro from within the nomenclatura, and no outward signs of political
tremors.

At other junctures, political and economic convulsions also appeared to
some to be more than the Castros could handle. There was, for example,
the chaos of the first few years of the revolution as rapid
confiscations of property and brutal repression of dissent fueled the
exodus of skilled and professional Cubans and their families. The
Matos-Cienfuegos crisis in the fall of 1959 could easily have ended
differently, that is, in violent conflict within the embryonic armed
forces and the diverse July 26th Movement.

In the 1960's there were numerous real or apparent challenges to the
Castros' hegemony. The 1962 "sectarian" purge, the 1964 Marcos Rodriguez
affair, the "microfaction" purge later in the decade, and the defections
of many prominent officials and scapegoating of others by Fidel Castro
suggested at times that the regime was faltering. But of course, the
hopes of those predicting its downfall came to naught.

In retrospect, the gravest of all the crises the regime has weathered
probably occurred during the summer of 1989. Highlighted by dramatic
show trials, executions, dangerous purges, suspicious deaths (suicide
and heart attack?), and preposterously contrived charges of drug
trafficking, the Ochoa-de la Guardia-Abrahantes affair may some day be
known to have been the closest the Castro brothers have ever come to a
genuinely regime-threatening crisis.

They were playing with fire when they ordered convulsive purges in the
Ministry of Interior (MININT). And their frantic behavior during those
tense weeks are evidence enough of how grave a backlash they thought
might materialize.

Juan Antonio Rodriguez Menier, a late 1980's defector from Cuban
intelligence who has written about the DGI and the Ministry of Interior,
has commented on the fateful summer of 1989. "Internal opposition has
been serious in the past," he has said, "proven by the execution of
(General Arnaldo) Ochoa & the imprisonment of nearly 200 MININT
officials who were opposed to Castro and were almost to the point of
conspiring to overthrow him."

Rodriguez Menier explains that "the old generation of MININT leaders
long contemplated a conspiracy against Fidel, but in the end, they saw
no viable alternative. While the armed forces are largely 'yes sir
types,' the MININT consists of the most intelligent Cubans who are also
the best informed."

It has been more than twenty years now since the MININT purges and
executions, plenty of time for Fidel and Raul Castro and their
subalterns to have repaired the damage done. But Rodriguez Menier's
judgments may nonetheless have relevance to Cuban conditions today. An
elite-led rebellion or challenge to the doddering regime will be more
likely than one that spontaneously arises in the streets. But predicting
it will continue to be a reckless undertaking.

I wish to acknowledge the valuable assistance of Ms. Lolita Sosa, my
University of Miami student research assistant.

Dr. Brian Latell, distinguished Cuba analyst and recent author of the
book, After Fidel: The Inside Story of Castro's Regime and Cuba's Next
Leader, is a Senior Research Associate at ICCAS. He has informed
American and foreign presidents, cabinet members, and legislators about
Cuba and Fidel Castro in a number of capacities. He served in the early
1990s as National Intelligence Officer for Latin America at the Central
Intelligence Agency and taught at Georgetown University for a quarter
century. Dr. Latell has written, lectured, and consulted extensively.

The CTP, funded by a grant from the U.S. Agency for International
Development (USAID), can be contacted at P.O. Box 248174, Coral Gables,
Florida 33124-3010, Tel: 305-284-CUBA (2822), Fax: 305-284-4875, and by
email at ctp.iccas@miami.edu.

The Latell Report March 2010

Welcome to The Latell Report. The Report, analyzing Cuba's contemporary
domestic and foreign policy, is published monthly except August and
December and distributed by the electronic information service of the
Cuba Transition Project (CTP) at the University of Miami's Institute for
Cuban and Cuban-American Studies (ICCAS).

The Latell Report is a publication of ICCAS and no government funding
has been used in its publication. The opinions expressed herein are
those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ICCAS
and/or the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).

http://www.miscelaneasdecuba.net/web/article.asp?artID=26902