Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Cuba: Colombia’s peacemaker?

Cuba: Colombia's peacemaker?

FARC rebels have called a two-month cease-fire, but the Colombian
government vows to continue hunting down the guerrillas. Can Havana help
broker peace?
Nick Miroff
November 19, 2012 21:15

HAVANA, Cuba — As the hosts of a new round of peace talks between
Colombian officials and leftist FARC rebels, the Cuban government will
be supplying more than coffee and refreshments.

Havana has a major stake in helping end Latin America's longest-running
civil conflict. While Cuban authorities have kept relatively quiet about
their role in bringing the two sides together, a peace deal would be a
major diplomatic achievement for Raul Castro's government and a blow to
Washington's attempts to punish Cuba for keeping ties to the
Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia.

Colombia's Marxist-Leninist insurgency was partly inspired by Fidel
Castro's 1959 Cuban Revolution. The Castro government has paid a steep
price for its links to the Colombian rebels, some of whom have taken
refuge on the island over the years.

Their presence in Cuba has been one of Washington's main justifications
for keeping the country on the State Department's black list of "state
sponsors of terror" since 1982. It's more than a symbolic designation,
since it threatens to punish global financial institutions that do
business with Havana, among other sanctions.

As FARC leaders arrived for the beginning of talks Monday, top rebel
negotiator Ivan Marquez announced a holiday-season cease-fire stretching
to Jan. 20, pledging to suspend attacks on Colombian troops and sabotage
against government infrastructure. The unilateral move was intended "to
strengthen the climate of understanding necessary so that the parties …
achieve the purpose desired by all Colombians," said Marquez.

Colombia's defense minister said Monday afternoon that the government's
campaign against the FARC would continue, despite the rebel cease-fire

But if Cuba can make the cease-fire permanent and help deliver a peace
deal, the FARC would likely be transformed into a legitimate political
party in Colombia. That would make Cuba's inclusion on the terror list
obsolete, analysts say, even if anti-Castro hardliners in the US
Congress try to block a change.

More broadly, a resolution to the Colombia conflict would bring Cuba
full circle, from regional outcast during the Cold War — when Havana
armed and supported guerrilla movements throughout the hemisphere — to
Latin American peacemaker.

From left, members of Colombia's FARC rebel force Ricardo Tellez, Jesus
Santrich and Ivan Marquez attend a press conference after talks with
Colombian government representatives on Oct. 18 in Hurdal, Norway.
(Jorgen Braastad/AFP/Getty Images)

"There is a lot on the line for Cuba in facilitating the Colombia peace
talks," said Michael Shifter, president of Inter-American Dialogue, a
Washington, DC policy center. "If the talks succeed, Cuba's legitimacy
would be enhanced, especially in the eyes of the rest of Latin America,"
he said.

Still, Shifter cautioned that even a breakthrough for Colombia, a close
US ally, may not be enough to get Havana off the terrorism black list.

"In the final analysis, what matters is politics, and as long as
Washington and Havana have hostile relations, such decisions are highly
unlikely," Shifter said.

Even with Cuba working hard to help hammer out a deal behind the scenes,
there are several reasons for skepticism that Colombia and FARC can
reach an accord.

Though it's the first time in more than a decade that Bogota officials
and FARC rebels have engaged in peace talks, it is the fourth time the
two sides have sat down in the past 30 years. Each of those efforts
ended in failure.

Prior to the current round of talks, which began in Norway last month
and moved to Havana this week, Cuba quietly helped Colombian government
negotiators and rebel commanders agree on a set of goals, including land
reform, rural development and amnesty for FARC's
diminished-but-still-formidable force of roughly 8,000 fighters.

But already FARC leaders seem to be reaching for more. They have
insisted Colombia kick out the foreign oil and mining companies that are
operating in the country and are viewed by the government as a key
component to economic growth.

Lead Colombian government negotiator Humberto de la Calle said the
country's economic model was not up for discussion and FARC leaders
should stick to the agreed agenda. Neither side was going to win an
argument over ideology, he said upon arriving in Havana.

"We're not going to convince FARC, and they're not going to convince us
— that's not the type of discussion we're going to have," said de la
Calle. "What we want is to take concrete decisions about the five points
of the agenda that will lead to an end to the conflict."

FARC commanders have bristled at accusations they are involved in the
cocaine trade, and agreed earlier this year to renounce kidnapping — two
activities that have been big moneymakers for the group, and a major
reason for their designation by the US as a "terrorist" organization.

More from GlobalPost: Can Colombia end its guerrilla war? These victims
aren't so sure

Cuba's role in hosting the peace talks also reflects a dramatic change
in ties between Havana and Bogota.

Relations between the two countries were tense during the presidency of
former leader Alvaro Uribe. He took a hard line against the FARC with
backing from the US, which has sent some $8 billion to Bogota over the
past decade for coca eradication and counter-insurgency assistance under
Plan Colombia.

Colombia-Cuba ties quickly improved under the South American country's
current President Juan Manuel Santos, Uribe's former defense secretary,
who has since broken with his former boss over his willingness to
negotiate with FARC.

Santos, who is nominally a conservative, visited Cuban President Raul
Castro in Havana prior to hosting the most recent Summit of the Americas
in Cartagena. Santos then took a leading role in criticizing US policy
toward Cuba at the April meeting, calling for an end to US trade
sanctions against the island and Washington's efforts to exclude Cuba
from regional gatherings.


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